How to Make Better Business Decisions

May 4, 2021
Contributor: Mike Rollings

Effective decision making in today’s complex and disrupted business environments must be connected, contextual and continuous to drive good outcomes.

“We would be able to make a much better decision on this if only we had data on that.” If you have heard that lately, you are not alone. In 2021, that missing data might be on vaccines. In 2020, it was likely data related to COVID-19 and its effects.

But those are just highly visible examples of what senior executives have struggled with for years: Too many business decisions rely heavily on data and analytical models designed for the status quo. When the context changes, decision making cannot keep up.

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We still make decisions as we did decades ago. Things need to change.

Rethink the role of data and analytics in effective decision making

For every organisation, decision making is a core undertaking that is becoming more complex. Decision making involves much broader considerations — their potential impacts extend across enterprises — and the lines between strategic, tactical and operational decisions are blurring.

Effective decision making requires business leaders to reframe what is essential, who or what is involved — and rethink how to leverage data and analytics to improve decision making. The result will be a new core competency, driving better business outcomes.

Critically, this is not about re-engineering every decision; it is about applying this re-engineered thought process to the most important and impactful decisions — those that cannot be made effectively with traditional approaches.

Consider what kind of data you need, what data you could exploit, what pieces of the decision making are best left to humans and what should be handled by machines. And determine the collaborations that are critical, rather than what you can manage.

Read more: How DataOps Amplifies Data and Analytics Business Value

What effective decision making looks like

In a recent survey, Gartner found that 65% of decisions made are more complex (involving more stakeholders or choices) than they were two years ago. The current state of decision making is unsustainable.

To re-engineer decisions in a way that deals with higher complexity and uncertainty, good decision making is more connected, contextual and continuous. 

Connected

No decision stands on its own. Decisions by one actor affect other actors in the enterprise and ecosystem, and vice versa. Decision making needs to become much more connected, on all levels — not only hierarchically (strategic > tactical > operational), but also in a networked sense. Sharing of data and insights across organisational boundaries is critical.

Contextual

Decision alternatives need to be evaluated in a context-sensitive manner, beyond the scope of the individual event or transaction. Organisations often neglect to give their own business data and analytics the same personalisation that they know a consumer would expect.

Continuous

Organisations must be as responsive as possible to opportunities and disruptions. Decision making is becoming a much more continuous process in which organisations need to keep their options open.

Effective decision making — that is connected, contextual and continuous — results in a host of business benefits, including greater transparency, accuracy, scalability and speed.

Early Signals for Re-engineering Decision Making - 65% of participants agree the decisions they make are more complex than 2 years ago, and 53% agree there is a higher expectation for them to be able to explain or justify their decisions.

What decision making traditionally looks like

Effective decision making is also much more inclusive. It takes all necessary stakeholders into account and is collaborative. It scrutinises multiple aspects of a business opportunity and takes place where it matters most to your customer, citizen or organisation.

Consider a midsize industrial parts company. Traditionally, supply chain decisions were made by discrete, siloed teams, one at a time. They did not consider the scope of the supply chain, much less other interconnections like the impact on order-to-cash.

The company’s decision making might work, but does it work well? Further, does it work well in the era of digital acceleration?

What re-engineered, effective decision making looks like

Consider how to make these decisions with a connected, contextual and continuous mindset. The conversations begin much earlier in the process and include more stakeholders asking what data and which insights would enable a more impactful outcome.

What if we wanted to optimise the decision for both production and the supply chain? How do we then predict the conditions that would cause a change to our play-book before they occurred?

You might even consider optimising across production, supply chain and sales, where excess supply results in digital offers to customers most likely to accept the deal. This changes the conversation from one about supply chain to one about optimising the business at a higher level with all the involved stakeholders.

Striving to make decisions more connected, contextual and continuous is the same thought process driving the use of digital twins of machines for predictive maintenance — or even of the entire business. In the public sector, it drives the desire to optimise and coordinate citizen services across agencies. Simply put, it is about providing a better understanding of the bigger context and enabling continuous decisions that are connected across the entire environment.

You cannot (and should not) automate everything

One might jump to the conclusion that any re-engineering of decision making should try to eliminate the last unreliable element in the process: the human. Many firms assume hyper-automation means the automation of everything. But that would be unfortunate.

Automation has its place. Augmentation is ideal where actions and work are repeatable but data can add intelligence. But in general, machines and humans each have a role in effective decision making. Human decision makers certainly should not be replaced everywhere; rather, they should be complemented by the power of data, analytics and AI.

If all these elements are carefully orchestrated, the result can be a rich synergy arising from the combination of humans’ common sense and practical experience with the insights that AI models and algorithms can derive from ever-larger amounts of data.

Why good decisions matter

Decisions should be a trusted, reliable core capability for every organisation and its people. Without making effective and efficient decisions, the organisation is adrift, or blind to changes in market conditions, customer perceptions and citizen behaviours.

Effective decision making, re-engineered to be connected, contextual and continuous, accounts for uncertainty and improves our ability to add clarity to once opaque considerations. It becomes a competitive differentiator. If you are able to handle more uncertainty than others, comfortably and with skill, then you have the ultimate advantage.